The Problem

There are many problems with the way outs are traditionally approached.  This is the catalyst behind our research and genesis for us offering our bespoke service.

Below we outline the top 10 problems:

1) Regions Not Targets.  Most outs are discussed and documented on outcharts as regions rather than targets. "T16" is not a target. It is a region. Our research shows that optimal targets are usually not the dead center of regions. Therefore, every traditional outchart is sub-optimal. We identify your optimal target wherever on the board it may be.

Learn about KYO target notation by downloading the following. KYO Notation

2) Universal Recommendations. There is a common misconception that for each out there is one best target for everyone. In reality, optimal out targets are unique to each shooter's unique throw distribution profile and their specific game situation. A universal recommendation will almost certainly be sub-optimal. We can identify your optimal target in various scenarios.  

3) Incomplete Analysis/Accounting of All Outcomes. The standard defense offered for a particular out sequence usually includes one or two contingencies. However, a defense is not complete unless it incorporates all contingencies and weights them by their probability of occurring.  This is a tremendously complicated optimization problem that we can calculate for you.

4) Pride. Most dart players have a very strong sentimental attachment to the outs they use. Regardless of whether they are optimal or not.  It is humbling to realize and admit you are using inferior outs. We knew we were guilty of this from the outset, we put our pride aside and realized this was a highly mathematical challenge that had to be addressed accordingly. We took no shortcuts in developing our solution.

5) Overvaluing Experience. The astronomical number of permutations of possible game scenarios guarantees that no one person would ever be able to amass a suitable sample of game observations in their lifetime.  In contrast, our state of the art computing cluster can easily calculate all those permutations and their corresponding probabilities to provide you with the most accurate out analysis available on the market today.

6) Emotional Accounting. Unlike most dart players that are biased by memories of missed outs during season playoffs and triumphant tournament moments, our computing hardware is not emotionally attached to any particular target.  Our platform identifies the mathematically optimal target, free from the emotional bias that often leads players to pursue sub-optimal out paths.

7) Overvaluing 1 Turn Success Path. Dart players are human, and frankly we lack the computational horsepower to accurately compute the probabilities of various out paths (and their contingencies) past a turn or two.  As a result, we often favor sub-optimal dart paths that disproportionately weigh the value of short term success.  Using the latest computing hardware, programming and mathematical techniques; our solution does not suffer from this limitation or bias.

8) False Mutual Exclusion Assumption. Many dart players stress the importance of playing in rhythm and the benefit of not having to stop to think about outs in between turns.  Many believe this as more important that the target you choose.  However, we see this as a compliment, rather than a substitute, to our offering.  Play in rhythm and learn your outs......but do that with your optimal out targets....not someone else's.  We can identify them for you.

9) Detailed Analysis of Higher Outs. Our research in this area shows that there is no value to analyzing outs over 200.  Nevertheless, there are many that argue otherwise and offer inadequate defenses.  Perfect example is 306.  Many believe that T19 is superior to T20.  However, our platform has been able to emphatically renounce this theory with a defense rooted in sound mathematics.  

10) Internal Inconsistency. Most all outcharts have inconsistencies in them.  Best example in a very popular commercial outchart lists   145 - T20 T19 D14 and also lists 85 - T15 D20.  So what is the recommendation for 85?  We have two recommendations here.  We have pioneered and advocate for the modular approach.  

Visit our channel on youtube  for lengthier discussions regarding these and other issues.